In the next five years, world temperatures are expected to remain at record or close levels. This was stated by the World Meteorological Organization (VMO).
WMO and the British Meteorological Service (Met Office) presented a joint report on temperature forecasts for the period from 2025 to 2029.
“Global climatic forecasts show that over the next five years, temperatures will remain at record levels or near these values. This increases climatic risks and their influence on societies, economics and sustainable development,” follows the report.
It is expected that in each of these five years the average annual temperature on the surface of the Earth will exceed the pre-industrial level (average for 1850-1900) by 1.2-1.9 ° C.
According to forecasts, there is 86% probability that at least one of the years from 2025 to 2029 will exceed the pre -industrial level by 1.5 degrees, and 70% probability that the average temperature over these five years will also exceed the threshold of 1.5 ° C.
“Each additional warming leads to more destructive waves of heat, extreme sediments, protracted droughts, melting glaciers and sea ice, heating the oceans and an increase in sea level,” – follows from the report.
The authors recall that the Paris Agreement is aimed at restriction of global warming up to 1.5 ° C, however, while maintaining the current trend, the excess of this threshold will become more and more frequent, albeit temporary.
We just survived the 10th -hot years in history
“We have just survived the 10th -hot years in the history of observations. Unfortunately, the current report does not show signs of improvement in the coming years. This means more and more serious consequences for our economies, everyday life, ecosystems and the entire planet,” said the deputy secretary of the VMO to Barrett.
Barrett added that constant climatic monitoring and forecasting are extremely important for the provision of scientifically based tools and adaptation to changing temperatures.