Military situation in Ukraine has not changed significantly recently, and therefore official representatives of Western countries believe that Ukraine can force Russia to move to the positional war, he writes Paul Adams, the BBC diplomatic browser.
“We continue to see how Russian troops, although they continue to slowly move forward, but do not reach any strategic breakthrough,” one of the officials said during a briefing with journalists. “Everything is not only not only according to plan, but even It is heavy, with stubborn battles, the Promotion to which they began to adapt, is also braked. “
Among other things, the official representatives of the West allocate the following: Russian aviation is forced to act with great care, so as not to substitute for Ukrainian air defense; Russia’s attempt to attract additional forces to conflict was not part of the initial plan and only demonstrates how much Russia was bogged down in this conflict; The combat spirit of Russian military is extremely low.
According to the representatives of the West, the assessment of Russian losses of 7 thousand people “no way looks implausible.” Experts find it difficult to answer the question whether Russia will not want to correct the goals of the war in the face of such losses, but one of them noticed to journalists that he had not yet had the impression that Russia had already reached the point when it was unable to solve the military tasks set.
In addition, officials are reminded that Ukraine carries losses, and it is not entirely clear how long she can hold out.
As for peace negotiations, according to Western representatives, although both parties relate to them seriously, disagreements are still very significant, and no one is taken to say whether these negotiations will bring some fruits.